Taut-Tank
0x4b0104022eed803adf011fed491b2051671f95a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.40
Total PnL
$-34.41
Realised
$7.17
Win rate
50%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?
13 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.27
$0.21
- YES
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?
2 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.06
$0.03
- YES
Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
12 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.06
$0.02
- YES
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.01
$-0.00
- YES
Will Crystal Palace finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Brighton finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
777 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.33
- YES
Will NVIDIA dip to $148 in April?
588 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
566 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490?
494 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
- YES
Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
473 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$4.96May 11, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.84May 9, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.17May 8, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.01May 8, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.42May 8, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$5.85May 3, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 2?$2.80Apr 29, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 2?$0.86Apr 29, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?$5.69Apr 29, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 2?$0.33Apr 29, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.08Apr 29, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?$1.20Apr 29, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$1.64Apr 29, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.36Apr 29, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.04Apr 28, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.11Apr 28, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $2.10 April 27-May 3?$1.81Apr 28, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?$2.62Apr 28, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 8?$3.11Apr 28, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?$0.48Apr 28, 19:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 09:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.