Another-Comb
0x4b284723fa3c53a46d5217394840ec3b70c615df
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-152.17
Realised
$577.17
Win rate
84%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
402 shares @ 67.3¢·now 78.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$317.16
$46.29
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
2274 shares @ 13.2¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$307.02
$5.99
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
1930 shares @ 14.4¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$279.81
$1.42
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
2275 shares @ 11.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$261.61
$-0.04
- YES
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
1628 shares @ 12.6¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$211.63
$6.20
- NO
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?
163 shares @ 91.1¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$149.33
$1.22
- YES
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?
177 shares @ 70.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$129.37
$5.32
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
155 shares @ 72.1¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$118.58
$6.88
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
435 shares @ 17.4¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.94
$21.94
- YES
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?
863 shares @ 6.9¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$78.10
$18.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?$0.25Jul 29, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Thom Tillis vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$81.51Jul 29, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$70.04Jul 29, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$43.25Jul 29, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$72.25Jul 29, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Cornyn vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$87.51Jul 29, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Curtis vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$87.26Jul 29, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Susan Collins vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$35.26Jul 29, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMJay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by December 31?$19.20Jul 29, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMJay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by October 31?$11.51Jul 29, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rand Paul vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$75.76Jul 29, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?$5.00Jul 29, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?$7.50Jul 29, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$22.38Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?$6.75Jul 28, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$184.78Jul 28, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?$81.20Jul 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?$21.70Jul 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$13.00Jul 28, 16:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
84% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $43.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 20:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.