Sparse-Divan
0x4b408276596a2e4bf51a7097c07604ec3dc518e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$103.19
Total PnL
$-123.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?
98 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$98.16
$-0.05
- HARRY WENDELKEN
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Harry Wendelken
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$5.03
$-0.07
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 28?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
841 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on April 14?
836 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
782 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 9?
729 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 9?
698 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 7?
550 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 15?
529 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?$98.22May 19, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$97.87May 19, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$98.03May 19, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Harry Wendelken$5.19May 19, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?$103.56May 19, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?$103.47May 18, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$5.95May 18, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$108.85May 18, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$109.03May 18, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?$109.22May 18, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?$109.01May 17, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$109.40May 17, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$109.30May 16, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$109.23May 16, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$108.90May 15, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs$13.95May 15, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?$95.03May 15, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?$94.94May 14, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Sonego be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$94.89May 14, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lorenzo Sonego be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$95.00May 14, 08:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $87.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 05:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 11:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".