Weary-Skirt
0x4b45d9e5dbc9d022b32be8972bc17cddcb59b6ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$232.56
Total PnL
$-387.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
233 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$232.56
$132.56
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
945 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?
104 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?
100 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
100 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-8.30
- NO
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?
100 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-39.36
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meteora be accused of insider trading?$50.00Feb 25, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$12.79Feb 1, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$100.00Feb 1, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$100.00Nov 5, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$100.00Nov 2, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$100.00Nov 2, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$11.00Oct 29, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 21?$0.00Oct 28, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?$0.00Oct 28, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 21?$1.00Oct 28, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?$10.00Oct 28, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$200.00Oct 28, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$89.90Oct 28, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?$9.75Oct 21, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET$1.01Oct 21, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET$1.01Oct 21, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET$1.01Oct 21, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET$1.00Oct 21, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET$1.00Oct 21, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET$1.00Oct 21, 08:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $36.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 15:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.