MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

1. 1

   Down 4pp over 24h

   Now 56¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Heavy volume on this book — 2.0× turnover

   $72.3k traded against $36.2k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

3. 3

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

4. 4

   Past expiry — awaiting resolution

   Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than $1,500,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."