0x4b5b100bde3a1d74646ca7816e2e1e405d170872
0x4b5b100bde3a1d74646ca7816e2e1e405d170872
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$345.86
Total PnL
$-744.71
Realised
$390.49
Win rate
100%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$56.99
$30.09
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 1.7¢·now 6.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$33.25
$24.75
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$32.10
$-0.70
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.90
$-1.70
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 11.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.90
$0.40
- YES
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
113 shares @ 17.9¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.30
$0.14
- YES
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 10.1¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.70
$-1.50
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.70
$0.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4.16Jun 3, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4.16Jun 3, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.08Jun 3, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.50Jun 3, 07:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$17.00Jun 2, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.70Jun 2, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.03Jun 2, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.03Jun 2, 11:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.87Jun 1, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.02Jun 1, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.12Jun 1, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.02Jun 1, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.04Jun 1, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.81Jun 1, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.02Jun 1, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.81Jun 1, 09:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 16:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".