Positive-Tapioca
0x4b649ed15cefe4d7bded4cce8c8a641e110db4bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-82.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 Week of April 13 2026?
219 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 28?
218 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 12?
169 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.69
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 31?
128 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 22?
124 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.36
- SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS
San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
109 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.56
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 4?
103 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 23?
78 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 20?
75 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.59
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 27?
54 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 5?$34.65Jul 5, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 5?$33.47Jul 4, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 4?$1.65Jun 3, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 28?$45.41May 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 28?$41.60May 28, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 20?$32.60May 20, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 20?$0.30May 19, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 20?$31.16May 19, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?$2.27May 17, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?$42.93May 10, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?$40.44May 9, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?$36.18Apr 27, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?$34.95Apr 27, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 Week of April 13 2026?$1.37Apr 17, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elisa win the Legend Trade Series?$36.39Apr 17, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elisa win the Legend Trade Series?$33.26Apr 15, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 12?$1.82Apr 11, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 29?$39.27Apr 11, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 28?$0.00Apr 1, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 1?$3.21Mar 31, 19:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $26.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 16:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.