Dear-Leap
0x4b69ea9cc06bd8c4e3e19116f0d850afdde7ec62
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$82.55
Total PnL
$-650.80
Realised
$-1.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
54 shares @ 39.1¢·now 39.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Regarded" this week?
51 shares @ 38.9¢·now 31.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$15.94
$-4.06
- YES
Will Trump say "Wall Street" this week?
26 shares @ 38.8¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$15.85
$5.85
- YES
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-3.50
- NO
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
75 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$5.63
$-0.38
- YES
Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$5.54
$0.54
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Comey smile in his mugshot?
91 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.50
$0.50
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$21.516h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$33.786h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week?$1.036h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Autopen" this week?$5.136h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.007h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$25.619h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.009h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$30.919h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.009h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$25.349h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$37.889h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.009h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$32.059h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$25.619h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$0.009h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$46.309h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$25.409h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$25.839h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.009h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$43.869h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $22.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10h ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".