Knobby-Caviar
0x4b844e0d5d5d676a4b692dac132dbe4425656e3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$9.88
Total PnL
$-204.89
Realised
$-0.24
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?
350 shares @ 11.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.08
$-33.42
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?
329 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.79
$-7.21
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?
278 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.25
$-5.69
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?
24 shares @ 17.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.77
$-3.37
- NO
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?
2009 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?$4.38Jun 2, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?$10.68Jun 2, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?$7.41Jun 1, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?$40.90Jun 1, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$17.90May 14, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$20.15May 3, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$3.42Apr 27, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1.24Apr 27, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 22?$1.70Apr 22, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Apr 22, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$4.20Apr 22, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$1.28Apr 5, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$1.28Jan 24, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$1.57Jan 24, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 24?$4.00Jan 24, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$2.55Jan 23, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 21?$3.02Jan 21, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 21?$2.04Jan 21, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?$1.53Jan 21, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?$1.60Jan 21, 05:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 17:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.