Firm-Privacy
0x4b8bbab118ef758358c407ebdbf8569c065dce38
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$6.18
Total PnL
$-39.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.17
$-0.03
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 20?
7431 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.43
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?
2117 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.23
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?
2096 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.19
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 22?
2092 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 27?
2085 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?
2081 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?
2080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 15?
2077 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$8.22Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$8.20May 25, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$8.86May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$8.80May 20, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 15?$4.15May 16, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?$0.04May 12, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?$4.15May 12, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?$4.16May 10, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?$4.53May 7, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 4?$2.1KMay 5, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 4?$2.1KMay 5, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?$2.1KMay 4, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?$2.1KMay 4, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?$2.1KMay 4, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?$2.1KMay 4, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?$2.1KMay 3, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?$2.1KMay 3, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?$2.1KMay 3, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?$2.1KMay 3, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2?$2.1KMay 3, 01:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $404.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 11:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".