Real-Nutrient
0x4b974eb94aebe3a5c7f7331ffe01c69dc0b632f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$237.76
Total PnL
$-296.13
Realised
$40.26
Win rate
74%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
75 shares @ 39.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$75.00
$45.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?
49 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$49.37
$19.75
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
20 shares @ 45.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$19.92
$10.91
- YES
Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5
15 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$15.00
$7.65
- NO
Will XRP reach $1.50 March 9-15?
13 shares @ 73.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$12.81
$3.39
- LEGIOWON
Valorant: FUSION X vs Legiowon (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America North Group Stage
22 shares @ 27.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$11.19
$5.15
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.00
$4.20
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
10 shares @ 58.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.00
$4.15
- NO
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$1.85
- NO
Will François Briançon be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$5.00
$2.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Warriors$5.00Mar 14, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Raptors$10.00Mar 14, 06:55 UTC
- MERGEUS strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?$2.00Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGEValorant: FUSION X vs Legiowon (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America North Group Stage$2.63Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGEMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?$5.00Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGETrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$5.00Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGEWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$5.00Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGEGG Jackson II: Points O/U 10.5$5.00Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGEWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$5.00Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGESurf FDV above $50M one day after launch?$5.00Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGEWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$5.00Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGEWill Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?$5.00Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGEGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$7.92Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGEWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$10.00Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGEWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGEEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$10.00Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGEWill XRP reach $1.50 March 9-15?$10.00Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGEGPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?$10.00Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGENaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
- MERGEWill Clavicular receive a Kick ban by June 1, 2026?$13.03Mar 14, 04:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
74% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 23:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 08:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.