Silver-Mound
0x4b9ccf6ab41919b1a6827882915f0ee7523cdc95
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
0
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
No open positions.
Recent activity
- REDEEMMap 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5$1.00Jun 29, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$0.99Jun 29, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$1.00Jun 29, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5$1.00Jun 29, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$0.97Jun 27, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$0.99Jun 27, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 27, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$1.00Jun 27, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?$0.95Jun 27, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by July 31, 2026?$0.99Jun 27, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?$1.00Jun 27, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 27, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?$0.99Jun 26, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$1.00Jun 26, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 26, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$1.00Jun 26, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$0.98Jun 24, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$0.99Jun 24, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$1.00Jun 24, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$1.00Jun 24, 00:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.