Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Probability
13¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-3.0pp
24h Vol
$7.4K
Liquidity
$27.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1581.2h
- 02:46SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1581h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 13¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 13¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 13¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 13¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 13¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 13¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 13¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 13¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 13¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 13¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 13¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 13¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 13¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 16¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 16¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 15¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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