Large-Pigpen
0x4ba23c417502db2b55d420dab7b27b9d06a753dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$3.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
3875 shares @ 39.4¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.6K
$79.97
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
10000 shares @ 15.9¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.4K
$-220.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
800 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$799.98
$143.82
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
5000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- NO
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
3615 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-446.09
- YES
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in July?
1000 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-31.91
- DANIIL MEDVEDEV
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev
834 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Karla Sofía Gascón win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
548 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Robert Lighthizer for Treasury Secretary?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$4.18May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.03May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.41May 17, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$6.36May 17, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$8.27May 17, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$9.87May 17, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.36May 17, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$30.37May 17, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$7.99May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.72May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.77May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.27May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$30.37May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.59May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$16.06May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.98May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.34May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$94.06May 17, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.91May 17, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.84May 17, 10:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".