PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 21, 2026

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Probability

31¢

-0.3pp

24h

-2.2pp

24h Vol

$22.7K

Liquidity

$36.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

-12.2pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 13:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:01

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 1372.0h
LOW
10:02Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1372h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
10:00Price
Probability down -5.0pp
to 31¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability down -5.7pp
to 31¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -6.3pp
to 31¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability down -8.3pp
to 30¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability down -7.6pp
to 31¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability down -6.2pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability down -5.4pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability down -6.7pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability down -6.2pp
to 32¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability down -5.8pp
to 32¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -6.1pp
to 32¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability down -3.1pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability down -6.2pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability down -8.4pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability down -8.5pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability down -8.9pp
to 32¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability down -8.8pp
to 32¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -8.4pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -10.1pp
to 32¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -9.6pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -9.8pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -11.1pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -9.9pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -9.8pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -9.4pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -9.7pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -7.1pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -6.9pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventColombia Presidential Election

Category · Politics

Market Description

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Jun 21, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket