Tender-Whey
0x4babdff767e9d62d98df2a770571bbece6a75fa0
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2700 shares @ 49.8¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$256.50
$-1.1K
- NO
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
200 shares @ 81.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$199.00
$37.00
- NO
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?
150 shares @ 44.7¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$142.50
$75.50
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
550 shares @ 67.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.50
$-253.30
- NO
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
145 shares @ 34.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.68
$63.18
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 95.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$91.45
$-3.95
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
100 shares @ 77.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$85.50
$8.50
- YES
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
200 shares @ 58.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.00
$-37.00
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$63.25
$13.25
- NO
Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.91
$29.91
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?$15.38Jul 11, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$50.00Jul 11, 04:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.