Caring-Webinar
0x4bae8a5104f647fd083e3c62f1313b07cdfb1574
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-255.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
328 shares @ 45.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
191 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?
130 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
22 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$18.63Jun 7, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$10.00Jun 7, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$8.82Jun 5, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.12Jun 5, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$5.15Jun 5, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$5.07Jun 5, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$5.10Jun 5, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$663.55May 19, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.50May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$47.59May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.39May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$10.83May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$5.60May 16, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$95.65May 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$516.01May 16, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$150.00Apr 8, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?$30.00Mar 23, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?$70.00Mar 13, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$268.93Mar 13, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$35.00Mar 11, 22:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $42.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.