Likely-Restoration
0x4bb310a7d364943ba1767d95ccaa2e8043749b82
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$176.46
Total PnL
$0.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
51 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.46
$1.20
- NO
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
51 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$49.83
$0.05
- NO
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?
51 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$48.99
$-0.99
- NO
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
28 shares @ 96.5¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.19
$0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFelix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?$49.98May 17, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?$39.41May 17, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$51.00May 17, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYState of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? $27.02May 15, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$21.76May 15, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$28.01May 15, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$49.27May 15, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$51.00May 15, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?$39.17May 14, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$12.19May 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.08May 13, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.34May 13, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?$50.54May 11, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.47May 11, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.74May 11, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$17.77May 11, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$28.13May 11, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$1.04May 11, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$1.25May 11, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$18.02May 11, 12:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $18.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 11:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".