Grateful-Motorboat
0x4bbd8fe9214c83b64d542a0e42566f03d4ab8bd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$42.44
Total PnL
$-33.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$15.87
$5.87
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
24 shares @ 20.5¢·now 21.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$4.76
$1.76
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.52
$2.52
- YES
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$3.39
$1.39
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.33
$1.33
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
44 shares @ 4.5¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
7 shares @ 44.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.40
$-1.60
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.32
$-3.68
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$7.26Mar 9, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$3.78Mar 9, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$10.98Mar 9, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.00Mar 6, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.00Mar 6, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.00Mar 5, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$2.00Mar 5, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Mar 5, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Mar 5, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$2.00Mar 5, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI bubble burst in 2026?$5.00Mar 5, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?$1.00Mar 5, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026?$2.00Mar 5, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?$3.00Mar 5, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$4.00Mar 5, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?$3.00Mar 5, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$4.00Mar 5, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$2.00Mar 5, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 5, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$3.00Mar 5, 21:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 21:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 13:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".