0x4bc26247abd4c4f908c786c4873acd49beb2597a
0x4bc26247abd4c4f908c786c4873acd49beb2597a
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$149.08
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
2247 shares @ 52.1¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.2K
$-3.19
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
3361 shares @ 40.7¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$823.39
$-545.09
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
6496 shares @ 15.6¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$812.02
$-203.91
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
3922 shares @ 25.8¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$784.45
$-229.08
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
578 shares @ 75.7¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$358.42
$-79.31
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
1412 shares @ 23.8¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$289.37
$-46.38
- YES
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?
1455 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$240.03
$0.70
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
1098 shares @ 11.6¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$214.11
$86.38
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
31 shares @ 62.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$25.73
$6.29
- YES
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?
65 shares @ 14.8¢·now 5.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.52
$-6.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$2.24Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1.93Jun 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.39Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.77Jun 13, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$3.39Jun 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$3.26Jun 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$3.89Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$5.86Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$12.76Jun 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$10.06Jun 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$1.84Jun 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$11.47Jun 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$4.77Jun 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$5.64Jun 13, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$2.54Jun 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$7.59Jun 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$2.81Jun 13, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$3.30Jun 13, 14:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $27.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 22:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.