Cheap-Bid
0x4bc8ee798145bcb5e95d3652999b90bbe8ca445e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$8.86
Total PnL
$-14.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
49 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.82
$-0.12
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
6000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
4937 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
1999 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-999.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
1994 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-997.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.94Apr 2, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?$3.03Apr 2, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$4.04Apr 2, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$4.00Feb 6, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?$3.00Feb 6, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)$1.00Feb 6, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the December meeting?$1.05Feb 6, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Feb 6, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)$1.00Dec 9, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?$1.02Dec 9, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?$1.00Dec 2, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the December meeting?$1.00Nov 26, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$96.00Nov 17, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$100.00Nov 17, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$48.00Nov 17, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$50.00Nov 17, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.0KNov 8, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.0KNov 8, 07:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $444.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 05:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 01:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".