Short-Wick
0x4be145d919500765a978e3f2ed9ecbe639b942cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$2.57
Total PnL
$-119.12
Realised
$-23.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
3 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$2.57
$0.49
- YES
Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?
700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.70
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
84 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-35.67
- YES
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $35-40b one day after launch?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Italy win the 2024 Euros?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?
39 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.56
- YES
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $30-35b one day after launch?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$2.08Apr 21, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$2.08Apr 21, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.19Apr 21, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kelp DAO socialize the losses?$3.80Apr 20, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kelp DAO socialize the losses?$5.00Apr 20, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$0.00Apr 11, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$9.14Apr 11, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$9.13Apr 11, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$9.05Apr 11, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Mar 26, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.50Mar 24, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$2.14Mar 23, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Mar 23, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.00Mar 23, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.45Mar 23, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.00Mar 23, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.00Mar 23, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.00Mar 23, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$1.27Nov 5, 21:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 18:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".