Harmful-Nasal
0x4be6d3628b5393532189ad614d38aa996bb877cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$95.81
Total PnL
$0.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
28 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$28.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$26.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
16 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$15.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?
13 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$13.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$12.63
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$26.00Apr 29, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?$13.22Apr 29, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?$13.00Apr 27, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 25?$12.29Apr 27, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$12.60Apr 27, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?$15.55Apr 27, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?$16.04Apr 27, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?$15.51Apr 26, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?$16.00Apr 26, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?$13.20Apr 25, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$8.03Apr 25, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 24?$15.51Apr 25, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24?$20.07Apr 25, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 25?$12.27Apr 25, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 24?$15.45Apr 24, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 23?$17.75Apr 24, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24?$20.00Apr 23, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 23?$17.70Apr 22, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 22?$17.10Apr 22, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 22?$22.04Apr 22, 22:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $18.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 03:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 02:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.