CryptoExpires Apr 26, 2026

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?

Probability

94¢

+2.0pp

24h

+12.0pp

24h Vol

$73.7K

Liquidity

$31.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d

Apr 20, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 09:46

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 30.2h
HIGH
09:46Signal
Signal · Momentum up
Probability moved up 12.0pp in 24h with 2.4× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
HIGH
09:46Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 30h with open resolution ambiguity.
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability up 13.0pp
to 95¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 6.0pp
to 91¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 5.5pp
to 91¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 8.0pp
to 91¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 6.5pp
to 91¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 6.0pp
to 89¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 9.0pp
to 88¢
MEDIUM
23:00Price
Probability up 6.0pp
to 84¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability up 15.5pp
to 89¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability up 13.0pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability up 12.0pp
to 86¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability up 17.0pp
to 86¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability up 19.0pp
to 89¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability up 33.5pp
to 88¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability up 34.0pp
to 89¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability up 39.0pp
to 86¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability up 36.5pp
to 82¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 42.0pp
to 81¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 37.0pp
to 85¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 30.5pp
to 80¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 32.0pp
to 86¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 38.5pp
to 88¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 33.0pp
to 86¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 44.5pp
to 82¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventBitcoin above ___ on April 26?

Category · Crypto

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk

End date: Apr 26, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket