0x4bf861f205c211cf13c02485d2ec01755f45a9e4
0x4bf861f205c211cf13c02485d2ec01755f45a9e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$13.67
Total PnL
$-6.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
14 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$7.24
$-0.07
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 16.1¢·now 18.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 15.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2AM ET$6.23Jun 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$7.49Jun 18, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2AM ET$6.06Jun 18, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$1.04Jun 18, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-06-17?$5.41Jun 17, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-17?$2.83Jun 17, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$11.88Jun 17, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$4.08Jun 17, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$4.07Jun 15, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLAtlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox$2.49Jun 14, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLAtlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox$2.60Jun 14, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox$3.07Jun 14, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$3.07Jun 12, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox$2.66Jun 12, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$3.07Jun 12, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.07Jun 11, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.07Jun 11, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 11, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?$5.17Jun 10, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?$3.61Jun 8, 05:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $3.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 06:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.