Cultivated-Writer
0x4c388cec5483bf11af9e22d7c2679373f498776d
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-629.83
Realised
$-7.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany vs. Luxembourg end in a draw?
556 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
389 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-41.11
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET
185 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-17?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
152 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
140 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-57.00
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
138 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump sue over South Park episode?
110 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$41.21Mar 7, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$41.24Mar 7, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$11.04Mar 7, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$3.20Mar 7, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by March 31?$2.38Mar 7, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$11.80Mar 7, 10:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 7, 00:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 6, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 5, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 4, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 3, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 2, 00:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 1, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 28, 01:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 27, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 26, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 25, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 24, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 23, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 22, 00:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $18.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 00:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 10:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".