0x4c44a02c63e9a62e0b4b5b920d0607eb0aa3f40d
0x4c44a02c63e9a62e0b4b5b920d0607eb0aa3f40d
Wallet digest
Activity score
23/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-192.79
Realised
$-39.25
Win rate
0%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-15?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.00
$1.10
- NO
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-05-02?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- ROMAN ANDRES BURRUCHAGA
Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Roman Andres Burruchaga
1018 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-02?
1016 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.81
- AZIZ DOUGAZ
Abidjan 2: Aziz Dougaz vs Florent Bax
1014 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?
1002 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- EMILIANA ARANGO
La Bisbal: Emiliana Arango vs Daria Kasatkina
413 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-02?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-05-02?
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- MAJIX ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: MAJIX ESPORTS vs Younglings (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage
75 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-21.60
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.