Creative-Tempo
0x4c4fed7c084acb19b227ade601134c48d479b935
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-38.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
265 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Leavitt say "Ukraine" during the next White House press briefing?
8 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?$10.27Apr 10, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?$11.20Apr 10, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$23.57Apr 10, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Epic Fury" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$0.00Apr 10, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (April 12)$12.18Apr 10, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA 6 launch postponed again?$11.84Apr 10, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$0.00Apr 10, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$4.85Apr 10, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House press briefing?$5.56Apr 10, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Weather" or "Rain" or "Raining" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$6.45Apr 10, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Ayatollah" or "Supreme Leader" during the next White House press briefing?$7.69Apr 10, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$8.00Apr 10, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?$13.23Apr 10, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Weather" or "Rain" or "Raining" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$2.00Apr 5, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epic Fury" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$3.00Apr 5, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$5.00Apr 5, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$2.00Apr 5, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$3.00Apr 5, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Ayatollah" or "Supreme Leader" during the next White House press briefing?$3.00Apr 5, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House press briefing?$3.00Apr 5, 02:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $9.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 13:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 06:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.