Imperturbable-Bid
0x4c59e0fc51ef26e2b8bf16b465bae6bee5bd02e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$19.68
Total PnL
$-379.44
Realised
$14.48
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 20?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- THUNDER
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- YES
Exact Score: Zhejiang Zhiye FC 1 - 1 Shandong Taishan FC?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.62
$3.62
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 21?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$3.15
$0.15
- SHANGHAI SHENHUA FC
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- SUNS
Rockets vs. Suns
1156 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.67
- LAKERS
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
929 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$2.27May 20, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.04May 20, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-5.5)$5.07May 20, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$0.00May 20, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$2.63May 20, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.04May 20, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Zhejiang Zhiye FC 1 - 1 Shandong Taishan FC?$1.03May 20, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.73May 20, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.04May 20, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)$1.02May 20, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$0.00May 20, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$3.68May 20, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.03May 20, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.03May 20, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 21?$3.15May 20, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5$2.05May 20, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Knicks (-8.5)$12.25May 20, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$1.02May 20, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-8.5)$3.05May 20, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5$2.03May 20, 00:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 02:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".