Equal-Impress
0x4c6b2fa2af3b0152b8fe070a9b46f684be735fc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$3.66
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.53
$0.19
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.02
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.05
$-0.00
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Nuggets
2398 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Raptors
1841 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-982.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
671 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-220.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
32 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.41
- DOWN
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 13?
17 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.04
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
15 shares @ 58.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.73
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Hawks
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMHalle Open: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinn$4.29Jun 16, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMRoyan: Daniel Jade vs Michael Zhu$1.32Jun 16, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMParma: Daniel Galan vs Zsombor Piros$4.70Jun 16, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMPoznan: Michele Ribecai vs Henri Squire$5.13Jun 16, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYHalle Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Raphael Collignon$2.04Jun 16, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYHalle Open: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinn$1.36Jun 16, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoyan: Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Santamarta$1.29Jun 16, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPoznan: Michele Ribecai vs Henri Squire$2.04Jun 16, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoyan: Daniel Jade vs Michael Zhu$1.16Jun 16, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPoznan: Hynek Barton vs Kimmer Coppejans$1.20Jun 16, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYParma: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Francesco Passaro$1.29Jun 16, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYParma: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli$1.38Jun 16, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYParma: Daniel Galan vs Zsombor Piros$2.19Jun 16, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$1.24Jun 12, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$1.06Jun 12, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMGolden Knights vs. Ducks$6.00May 9, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$1.20May 8, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$1.05May 8, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Ducks$3.10May 8, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?$1.20May 8, 21:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $27.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 18:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 12:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.