Perfect-Movement-Digger
0x4c6dd09137279f7e92bba25184416df6e6247d88
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$18.12
Total PnL
$-289.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62 shares @ 16.2¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.43
$-1.57
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
131 shares @ 7.6¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.56
$-4.43
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.12
$-5.88
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?
1105 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
90 shares @ 55.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
87 shares @ 74.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
57 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$1.01May 14, 00:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $20.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.