Focused-Fund
0x4c6df6968391b76d2ae1b99cc466c51b296b15fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-150.57
Realised
$-4.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
760 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
170 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
130 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
79 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
65 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
50 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$3.34Mar 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.52Mar 4, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$4.75Feb 28, 21:32 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.03Feb 15, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$10.00Feb 14, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$6.60Feb 14, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$2.70Feb 14, 03:02 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.02Feb 14, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$18.00Feb 13, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.50Feb 13, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.40Feb 13, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.50Feb 13, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.00Feb 12, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.34Feb 12, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.20Feb 12, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.03Feb 12, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.41Feb 12, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.05Feb 12, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.17Feb 12, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$14.17Feb 12, 16:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $13.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 19:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".