Flickering-Importance
0x4c742f89f67f6c420be17dcb032164c8821a3490
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$10.98
Total PnL
$-38.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.83
$-0.04
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.14
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 10?
4284 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.57
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 10?
2087 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?
2085 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 6?
2083 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?
2077 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?
2062 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?
2025 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on February 1?
1081 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$10.35Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$10.30Jun 9, 03:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.38Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$6.03Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$6.00May 25, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$6.01May 25, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$6.00May 20, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?$4.17May 14, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 10?$4.17May 11, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?$4.12May 9, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.13May 7, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 6?$4.17May 6, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$5.27May 3, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?$4.15May 3, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?$4.05Apr 29, 08:52 UTC
- REWARD$0.17Apr 28, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 22?$2.1KApr 23, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 22?$2.1KApr 23, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 22?$2.1KApr 23, 02:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $482.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.