0x4c78dfebbc2a7e9acf34a0ca46d53120a6a6eb5b
0x4c78dfebbc2a7e9acf34a0ca46d53120a6a6eb5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$50.45
Total PnL
$-1.40
Realised
$1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
12 shares @ 59.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$11.60
$4.74
- NO
Maduro guilty of all counts?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$8.10
$1.20
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.13
$1.10
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$5.05
$0.06
- NO
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$5.00
$1.00
- NO
Iran leadership change by April 30?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.00
$1.65
- NO
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.53
$0.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
8 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.97
- YES
Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
7 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?$0.00Apr 1, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.03Mar 22, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$4.99Mar 22, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$5.00Mar 22, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$5.81Mar 22, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)$5.00Mar 22, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$6.00Mar 21, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$3.00Mar 21, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$3.01Mar 21, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$4.03Mar 21, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$2.90Mar 21, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$3.96Mar 21, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?$4.00Mar 21, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?$2.20Mar 21, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$3.35Mar 21, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWarriors vs. Pistons$0.00Mar 21, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMCall of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers$0.00Mar 21, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs Isurus (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs$2.50Mar 21, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5$5.00Mar 21, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro guilty of all counts?$3.45Mar 20, 14:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $3.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 13:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.