Trusting-Candidacy
0x4c7fa82f6b76467aa933f3883caa6ba6f456d0ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$98.00
Total PnL
$-13.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?
86 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$85.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?
12 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$12.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?
1350 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 5?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 6?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24?
1030 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on April 6?
919 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 27?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?$12.00Jun 5, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?$86.00Jun 5, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$1.00Jun 5, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 25?$1.10Jun 5, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 25?$1.10Jun 5, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$94.09Jun 5, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$94.00May 25, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 25?$1.10May 25, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$1.00May 25, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 25?$1.10May 25, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$2.89May 25, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$100.10May 25, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$100.00May 21, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?$100.10May 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?$100.01May 14, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?$100.10May 14, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?$100.01May 9, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$100.10May 9, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$100.00May 5, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?$100.09May 5, 11:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $75.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 09:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 09:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".