Flustered-Flame
0x4ca1b3f0195f20108504a01f2e8058bb9b9a2e07
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$14.68
Total PnL
$-21.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.85
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 15?
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.17
$-0.18
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 30.5¢·now 32.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.75
$-0.35
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?$1.15Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 15?$1.40Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?$1.96Jun 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?$4.99Jun 13, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?$1.80Jun 11, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13?$1.13Jun 11, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?$1.30Jun 11, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11?$4.98Jun 11, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 12?$1.50Jun 11, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 12?$1.14Jun 11, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11?$2.10Jun 11, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 11?$1.00Jun 11, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?$4.98Jun 11, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?$1.28Jun 9, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?$0.61Jun 9, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10?$1.07Jun 9, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10?$1.40Jun 9, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?$5.87Jun 9, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?$1.05Jun 8, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 9?$0.91Jun 8, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 19:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.