Melodic-Fat
0x4ca226dd630189459ab2820a1fe861c87f473097
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$24.44
Total PnL
$-3.89
Realised
$-4.81
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- SC FREIBURG
Spread: Hamburger SV (-2.5)
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$20.99
$1.04
- NO
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
2 shares @ 96.8¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$1.46
$-0.04
- NO
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.03
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
1 shares @ 95.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.99
$0.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026?
2 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.09
- NO
Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
1 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hamburger SV (-2.5)$19.988h ago
- TRADESELLWill Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$18.2053d ago
- TRADESELLWill Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$101.2153d ago
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$298.6353d ago
- TRADESELLWill Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$141.2553d ago
- TRADESELLWill Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$1.1K53d ago
- TRADESELLWill Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$19.9153d ago
- REDEEMAlanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5$0.0053d ago
- TRADESELLWill Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$10.6853d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$10.7453d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$2.7053d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$2.7753d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?$123.6653d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?$123.2753d ago
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$131.5153d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$132.4853d ago
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$5.8753d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$5.8753d ago
- TRADESELLWill Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$6.7453d ago
- TRADESELLWill Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$125.7153d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $207.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 53d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
