Bare-Walkway
0x4cb0d3b953b0e8157cb89fe15d6801097b0c3b3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$192.47
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$-713.66
Win rate
58%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
1500 shares @ 18.5¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.75
$-199.03
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
305 shares @ 45.4¢·now 19.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.22
$-78.13
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
750 shares @ 17.4¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.00
$-85.87
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1000 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.50
$-262.85
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
30000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-53.55
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
17541 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-308.13
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?
16445 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-254.04
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?
13586 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-177.52
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
8500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.48
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
4250 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-128.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.00May 7, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.20May 2, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$9.00Apr 30, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$20.00Apr 30, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$10.00Apr 14, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$2.13Apr 14, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.65Apr 14, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.65Apr 14, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$9.20Apr 13, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.00Apr 13, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$14.30Apr 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$14.77Apr 13, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$2.40Apr 13, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$7.20Apr 12, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$8.40Apr 12, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$6.60Apr 11, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$11.50Apr 11, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$22.00Apr 11, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$0.53Apr 10, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$0.81Apr 10, 21:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 23:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 07:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.