Timely-Gloom
0x4cb4a16194043e858496cf6200851e212a45e842
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$35.08
Total PnL
$-11.25
Realised
$3.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 30?
20 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$20.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
15 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$15.00
$0.09
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New York Presidential Election?
4819 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-14.49
- YES
Trump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?
1 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4800 in October?$14.91Oct 30, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 30?$20.00Oct 30, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?$10.08Oct 30, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?$10.20Oct 30, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?$10.00Sep 29, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?$10.00Sep 29, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$1.00Sep 29, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?$1.00Sep 29, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$3.00Sep 29, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$4.00Sep 29, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sentenced to between 0 and 11 months prison time?$5.02Sep 29, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.03Sep 29, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200K in July?$15.47Sep 29, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200K in July?$15.38Jul 11, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$4.00Nov 6, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$3.00Nov 6, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.01Oct 10, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.10Oct 10, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.09Oct 10, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.10Oct 10, 22:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $6.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 09:02 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 01:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".