Ironclad-Math
0x4ccfd8e9ccaae548edcfb08edd9cdd78b3f2eceb
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$73.35
Total PnL
$-196.39
Realised
$25.50
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
529 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.18
$5.18
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
95 shares @ 10.5¢·now 11.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.10
$1.10
- YES
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
16 shares @ 64.5¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.55
$0.55
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
49 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
7 shares @ 37.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.72
$-0.78
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
396 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Exact Score: SC Freiburg 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$7.14Jun 13, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$16.35Jun 13, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.64Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$10.45Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$1.03Jun 12, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$1.03Jun 12, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$7.07Jun 12, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$5.08Jun 12, 16:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$11.59Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMRaúl Jiménez: 1+ goals$12.82Jun 11, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$1.03Jun 11, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$5.10Jun 11, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaúl Jiménez: 1+ goals$5.09Jun 11, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$8.07Jun 11, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5$11.43Jun 11, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMNetherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5$12.90Jun 11, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score$19.61Jun 11, 12:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $6.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.