Flickering-Million
0x4cd80f614485cd226842a15706576d1421a56cb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-294.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% in April?
1529 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-107.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
567 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
316 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
115 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?
17 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$472.97May 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$50.00Apr 28, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?$10.22Apr 28, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?$10.16Apr 28, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 39.0% in April?$320.81Apr 25, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$312.97Apr 24, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% in April?$107.00Apr 22, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 39.0% in April?$50.00Apr 21, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$200.00Apr 21, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$350.00Apr 21, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$61.67Apr 9, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 20, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 20, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 20, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 20, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 20, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 20, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 20, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 20, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 20, 20:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $33.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 01:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 15:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.