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PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Mar 3, 2026

Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Probability

42¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$310.48

Liquidity

$27.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+2.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:11
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 01:11Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

12
Same eventTexas Senate Election Matchup
Category · Politics

Market Description

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Mar 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
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Alerts

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