Urban-Milk
0x4cd9bd13280cf974d61b2351471c0755f03735b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$194.06
Total PnL
$-35.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
6250 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$56.25
$23.42
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
450 shares @ 10.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.25
$-0.25
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
6644 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$39.86
$-22.78
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
1497 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$23.21
$11.83
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
250 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.13
$-9.87
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
74 shares @ 34.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.66
$-14.34
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
60 shares @ 42.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$-23.78
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
31 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.48
$0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$0.31Jun 5, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$23.84May 29, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$8.38May 23, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$12.41May 23, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$12.66May 23, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$156.25May 22, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$20.00May 20, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$27.50May 19, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$18.05May 19, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$101.44May 18, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill High Point win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 28, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 28, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Virginia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 28, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$0.00Apr 28, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 28, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$2.38Apr 23, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$7.18Mar 28, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.35Mar 28, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$3.31Mar 27, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.05Mar 27, 16:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 16:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.