Nippy-Alpaca
0x4ceaab0f7f02296792c405a630980545f61bc59c
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-118.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will between 10 and 12 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?
297 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.35
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- DOWN
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 4?
161 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-112.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 2?$29.99Jun 9, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.87Jun 2, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 2?$28.87Jun 2, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8AM ET$12.57Mar 30, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8AM ET$10.00Mar 29, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill between 10 and 12 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?$3.35Mar 20, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 5AM ET$17.69Mar 16, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 5AM ET$11.83Mar 16, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$12.73Mar 16, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$12.88Mar 16, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 4?$112.86Mar 4, 06:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $24.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 06:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 02:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.