Shameful-Cinnamon
0x4d0121458bb2f96c6440c0f3835d675ad3ce1645
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
180
Open notional
$41.6K
Total PnL
$3.2K
Realised
$2.6K
Win rate
79%
68 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 180- NO
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4444 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.4K
$2.2K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3311 shares @ 94.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.3K
$140.49
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
2838 shares @ 92.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.8K
$173.92
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
2958 shares @ 73.7¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$216.52
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
2339 shares @ 90.7¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.2K
$122.55
- NO
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
2017 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$130.73
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1228 shares @ 79.1¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.2K
$236.73
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1972 shares @ 25.5¢·now 60.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$693.03
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
1607 shares @ 66.6¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.2K
$94.60
- NO
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
1111 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.1K
$9.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.68Jun 14, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.71Jun 14, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.41Jun 14, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.65Jun 14, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.06Jun 13, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.29Jun 13, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.03Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.77Jun 13, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.58Jun 13, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.31Jun 13, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.78Jun 13, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.84Jun 13, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?$0.43Jun 13, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?$121.10Jun 13, 01:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?$6.40Jun 12, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?$4.65Jun 12, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?$46.50Jun 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?$14.65Jun 12, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $38.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 07:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 68 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.