Bleak-Preface
0x4d10f83bfc9a14edeb282eee6152f2bc7fa142e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$4.24
Total PnL
$-59.42
Realised
$0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
44 shares @ 18.3¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$3.60
$-4.40
- YES
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.55
$-5.45
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
26 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.09
$-1.91
- YES
Will Sweden win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?
125 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sweden win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
58 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
46 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sweden win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
39 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$5.13May 26, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-03-31?$6.40Mar 31, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-03-31?$3.00Mar 31, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$2.90Mar 3, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$2.00Mar 3, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$3.00Mar 3, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$4.00Mar 3, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.00Mar 3, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.00Mar 3, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$2.00Mar 3, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$7.13Feb 22, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$2.00Feb 18, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 18, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group B - Finland vs. Sweden$5.00Feb 12, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 12, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 12, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYChinese or Russian athlete kicked out of 2026 Winter Games for doping?$1.00Feb 12, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 9, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 9, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 9, 11:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 14:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 20:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".