Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Probability
9¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
-1.9pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 9¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1499h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 10.1¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1499.4h
- 12:33SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1499h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.6pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.8pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.9pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.7pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.7pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 7¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (10.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).