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SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 27, 2026

Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?

Probability

1h

+0.1pp

24h

-1.9pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:32
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 9¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1499h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 10.1¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1499.4h

    LOW
  • 12:33Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1499h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.6pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.8pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.7pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.7pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.3pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.2pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.2pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 27, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (10.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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