Flimsy-Antling
0x4d1ae6fd0afaae8e5d688ebda793363a1b5dd391
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$29.52
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
1001 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.52
$-10.48
- YES
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
13748 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
2518 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-69.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by March 31?
1900 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-152.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
1857 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-260.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
1575 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-126.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
1371 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-126.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
743 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
663 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
471 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 8?$11.18Jun 7, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$40.00Jun 7, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar strike Iran by April 30?$21.00Apr 12, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$300.00Apr 12, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$324.21Apr 12, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$20.00Mar 25, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$126.00Mar 25, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$100.00Mar 24, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$52.00Mar 24, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$80.00Mar 24, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$260.00Mar 24, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$110.00Mar 24, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$83.33Mar 24, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$273.68Mar 24, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$26.00Feb 21, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?$13.00Feb 11, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$20.00Jan 30, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$26.00Jan 30, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$52.00Jan 30, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$26.00Jan 30, 14:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $77.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 19:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.