0x4d30ee63557aa73bcbc2db88379fb6949e25987d
0x4d30ee63557aa73bcbc2db88379fb6949e25987d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$44.96
Total PnL
$-353.11
Realised
$-41.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
149 shares @ 37.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.93
$-20.07
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
114 shares @ 21.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.28
$-18.72
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.75
$-16.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 18?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
3135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-116.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
3094 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
300 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$10.40May 22, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$26.00May 22, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$57.20May 22, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$121.71Mar 1, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$20.00Feb 28, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$50.00Feb 28, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?$1.41Feb 28, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?$100.00Feb 28, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$120.87Feb 28, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$82.90Feb 28, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$47.10Feb 28, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$100.00Feb 28, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$26.55Feb 28, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$50.82Feb 27, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$50.00Feb 20, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$7.59Feb 20, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$10.26Feb 19, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 19, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$10.00Feb 19, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $42.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 21:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 19:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.