Strident-Evaluator
0x4d3d19b676d6857eef054ff90e099003d25e5538
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$65.86
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-223.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
42 shares @ 76.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$41.69
$9.69
- YES
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
24 shares @ 82.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$24.17
$4.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 19?
9453 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-804.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 20?
4476 shares @ 68.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?
632 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-129.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 19?
350 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-245.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 22?
304 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-19.98
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
212 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-97.59
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 20?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 21?
160 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-19.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMAWS service disrupted by March 31?$0.00Apr 25, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMAWS service disrupted by March 31?$11.54Apr 25, 19:35 UTC
- REWARD$0.89Mar 21, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 20?$135.19Mar 20, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 20?$137.32Mar 20, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 20?$2.8KMar 20, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 20?$219.00Mar 20, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 20?$10.00Mar 20, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 20?$81.60Mar 20, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 20?$14.40Mar 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?$20.00Mar 20, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?$10.00Mar 19, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?$80.00Mar 19, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 25?$10.00Mar 19, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 21?$10.00Mar 19, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?$20.00Mar 19, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 20?$10.00Mar 19, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 21?$10.00Mar 19, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 22?$20.00Mar 19, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 19?$10.00Mar 19, 15:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $217.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 13:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 19:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.